Week 9: Matchup Analysis

Welcome to Week 9!

We’ve got four games on tap this week, it all gets started on Thursday night. Let’s see what the numbers can give us this week.

Thursday Aug 17 630 PM MDT
Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg BlueBombers

Mike Reilly has been averaging just a tick under 30 FPTS per game over his last four games. He’ll go up against a Winnipeg D rated in the bottom half of the league against QBs . Once again this makes Mike our QB1 for the week and a must start.

For Edmonton’s backfield, Ladarius Perkins now has two starts under his belt. Double digit FPTS in both. Winnipeg is terrible against the run, 2nd worst in the league to the position. Start Perkins with confidence.

Winnipeg is also giving up the 2nd most points to the WR position. Fire up your Edmonton receivers, the league leading core should have a good day with plenty of points to go around. Zylstra is only on the IR until Aug 16, so watch for updates. Otherwise, deploy Hazelton who gets the red-zone targets, and well as Bryant Mitchell who has two TDs in his four games and is averaging double-digit FPTS. I’m also watching for the emergence of Kenny Stafford, if Zylstra continues to sit out.

Matt Nichols currently sits as the 2nd highest scoring QB, a couple points back of Reilly. Edmonton’s Defense against QBs is decent, 3rd best in the league, but Nichols should be a decent start regardless. Dude has an average of 22 FPTS per game over his last four games, hasn’t thrown a pick since week 5, and has 8 passing TDs since then.

In Winnipeg’s backfield, Andrew Harris is always a must start, but he’ll be tempered by the best Run Defense in the league – Edmonton only surrenders an average of 12 FPTS to all backfields, per game. Should Winnipeg be able to keep the score even with Edmonton, expect Harris to get some good usage. But watch again for Timothy Flanders vulturing some carries moving foward.

Winnipeg receivers will be going up against the 2nd best Defense of the Eskimos. Clarence Denmark’s usage is increasing, but without the red zone targets I still can’t recommend he be in your lineup. Ryan Lankford remains in interesting Flex option with boom-or-bust potential in the return game. Thorpe and Feoli Gudino are getting increased looks but remain single-digit FPTS on average. Darvin Adams is still your best bet here with Dressler out, however Buddy’s floor to ceiling is widely unpredictable. Over the last four weeks he has a two stinkers, and two monsters.

Friday Aug 18 530 PM MDT
Ottawa RedBlacks at Hamilton Ti-Cats
Trevor Harris will take his 6th best QB ranking up against the worst Defense in the league. Hamilton gives up over 28 FPTS per game to opposing QBs. This makes Harris a must start, and QB2 this week.

If we see Powell in the backfield, he becomes RB1 for the week against the worst run D in Hamilton. Surrendering an AVERAGE of 18 FPTS per game, look for the OTT backfield to feast while controlling the clock. If Powell is still out, Madu can be deployed but I dont project him quite as high.

The lowly TiCats Defense against WR’s will ensure Ellingson, Sinopoli and Spencer should have great opportunity. I even see Stangby getting in on the action. Get them all into your lineup. Ellingson is a clear WR1 this week, I project a hundred yards with a major.

As for Hamilton Offense: worst in the league at all three positions, QB, RB and WR. Ottawa on the other hand, gives up the 2nd most points to QBs, and 3rd most points to both RBs and WRs. Hamilton has a real chance here to take advantage of the matchup. Realistically, I can see Collaros getting double-digit FPTS, but I don’t see him getting 20. Only play him if you really need to save the salary to spend elsewhere.

Just can’t start CJ Gable. Not a single double-digit performance, with 8.7 FPTS being his best game back in week 6.

Roll with Saunders as long as his salary doesn’t start to creep. And think about taking a flier on Demarr Aultman, who has 2 TDs in 2 games, and averages over 13 FPTS per.

Friday Aug 18 830 PM MDT
Calgary Stampeders at BC Lions

One super interesting thing I’d like to point out about Bo Levi Mitchell. Dude does not have a single rushing yard on the season. Not even a single attempt. Dude does not run. Therefore, dude does not get rushing TDs. For this reason, one of the best passers in the game only sits in 4th place overall in average FPTS. That said, this week he goes up against a BC defense which gives up the 3rd most to QBs. Get BLM in your lineup and expect low 20’s FPTS.

Jerome Messam will lead the 2nd best backfield against the 2nd best Defense against RBs. Not the best matchup on paper, but it’s Messam. He’s always a must start. Five TDs in the his last three games. I see him rushing for 80 and scoring at least one major.

Calgary’s receivers combine for an average of 40 FPTS per game, 3rd best in the league. Up against a middle of the road Defense in BC. BLM has been doing a good job of spreading it around, making the right picks tough to find. Assuming similar rosters as before their Bye week, McDaniel takes the top position on the field, not Marken Michel. I’m convincing myself to be cautiously optimistic about DaVaris Daniels this week.

BC’s Quarterback situation is going to require some monitoring. Will Jennings be back in form? Will Lulay get the start? Whoever it may be, they’ll be in tough against the best Defense in the league against QBs.

JJohnson will take his 1st in the league backfield ranking against a 5th best Calgary Defense. I like the start for JJ and hope to see him rumble for at least 12 FPTS this week. At his salary though, you really need Buddy to find the end zone and push closer to the 20 FPTS mark.

BC continues to underwhelm at the WR position and they’ll go up against Calgary’s Defense, #1 in the league against WRs. Chris Williams should get his deep opportunities, and Burnham maybe a good start. I’m still having troubles getting behind Arceneaux, having only scored single digits the last three weeks straight.

Saturday Aug 19 200 PM MDT
Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argos

The QB position in Montreal scores the 2nd fewest FPTS of all team’s QBs. Surprisingly, Toronto has the 2nd best Defense against. Avoid this matchup. Last week in Toronto, Durant was only able to muster 17 FPTS.

Sutton was held to a mere 9 FPTS last week. I see him having a similar performance this week. I project him at 82 rushing yards and another 22 through the air. Without a TD he won’t crack double-digits. If you’re starting him for his easy salary, cross your fingers for that TD and garbage time points.

Montreal’s 6th best WR core will face Toronto’s 4th best Defense. I like Ernest Jackson, building on his recent momentum. Buddy has double-digit FPTS in his last four games straight, including a pair of TDs. Tiquan Underwood feels due for a big game, but has only hit upwards of 15 FPTS once. Nik Lewis and BJ Cunningham should continue to get their looks.

Toronto is another team with questions at the QB position. It’s my personal opinion that Fajardo needs the start. If he gets it, I’m going to pull some crazy projections out of the air, let’s say – 270 yards passing, 1 passing TD, 1 rushing TD, 2 picks. That looks like 17 FPTS. We’ll go with that. 🙂

Toronto’s backfield, once again, not very fantasy relevant. Coombs has double-digits in one game of eight. Whittaker in one game of five. Zero for seven for Wilder Jr, zero for five for Declan Cross. Martese Jackson collects the majority of his points in the return game, which is widely inconsistent.

Despite a stinker last week, SJ Green remains an option. Only 3 points last week, but still had 7 targets from his backup QBs. He’ll go up against a Montreal Defense 3rd best in the league against WRs.

Week 9: Projections

Projections are calculated using the player’s average FPTS of the current season, takes into account the strength/weakness of the matchup, plus adds/subtracts bonuses for other considerations such as – home or away, streaking performance (performance over the last 4 games only vs entire season), current team trends and injuries/support roster changes.

Please note the 2017 Fantasy Scoring system, down the left side-bar.

QB Projections:

NAME PROJ
Mike Reilly 28.08
Trevor Harris 24.65
Bo Levi Mitchell 21.81
Matt Nichols 20.47
Travis Lulay (if) 19.10
Jonathan Jennings (if) 17.59
Cody Fajardo 17.56
Darian Durant 16.04
Zach Collaros 15.03

RB Projections:

William Powell 16.21
LaDarius Perkins 14.77
Mossis Madu 14.63
Jerome Messam 14.29
Andrew Harris 13.93
Jeremiah Johnson 12.61
Martese Jackson 10.98
Tyrell Sutton 10.46
Roy Finch 9.80
Chris Rainey 9.10
Anthony Coombs 8.04
CJ Gable 7.56
Stefan Logan 6.83
Kendial Lawrence 4.71

WR Projections:

Greg Ellingson 16.49
Marquay McDaniel 14.63
Vidal Hazelton 13.82
Ernest Jackson 12.97
Bryant Mitchell 12.85
Darvin Adams 12.36
Brad Sinopoli 12.35
Chris Williams 11.79
Ryan Lankford 11.74
Diontae Spencer 11.27
Tiquan Underwood 11.09
Bryan Burnham 10.93
Jalen Saunders 10.29
SJ Green 10.16
Marken Michel 9.49
Joshua Stangby 9.19
Luke Tasker 8.96
DaVaris Daniels 8.80
Emmanuel Arceneaux 8.79
Nik Lewis 8.77
Demarr Aultman 8.70
BJ Cunningham 8.63
Jasper Collins 8.21
Armanti Edwards 7.74
Brandon Banks 7.63
Clarence Denmark 7.54
Julian Feoli Gudino 7.20
Kenny Stafford 6.25
Jeff Fuller 6.23
Duke Williams 5.79
Tyron Thorpe 5.02

Week 9: Wide Receiver Stats

WR by Targets:

NAME Tar
SJ Green 77
Brad Sinopoli 71
Greg Ellingson 70
Luke Tasker 60
Duron Carter 59
Emmanuel Arceneaux 58
Darvin Adams 58
Namaan Roosevelt 56
Vidal Hazelton 55
Marquay McDaniel 52
Bryan Burnham 50
Brandon Zylstra 47
Nik Lewis 44
BJ Cunningham 44
Kamar Jorden (inj) 44
Armanti Edwards 44
Bakari Grant 43
Nick Moore 41
Jalen Saunders 41
DaVaris Daniels 38
Joshua Stangby 38
Ernest Jackson 37
Brian Tyms 37
Diontae Spencer 36
Jeff Fuller 36
Tiquan Underwood 34
Tyron Thorpe 32
DeVier Posey(inj) 31
Mike Jones 31
Julian Feoli Gudino 31

WR by Receptions:

NAME Rec
Brad Sinopoli 53
Greg Ellingson 48
SJ Green 47
Emmanuel Arceneaux 40
Namaan Roosevelt 40
Luke Tasker 39
Vidal Hazelton 39
Brandon Zylstra 39
Nik Lewis 37
Darvin Adams 36
Duron Carter 35
Marquay McDaniel 34
Bryan Burnham 33
Armanti Edwards 33
Bakari Grant 33
BJ Cunningham 29
Kamar Jorden (inj) 28
Nick Moore 28
Ernest Jackson 27
Jalen Saunders 26
Joshua Stangby 25
Tyron Thorpe 25
Brian Tyms 23
Marco Iannuzzi 23
Weston Dressler (inj) 23
Bryant Mitchell 23
DaVaris Daniels 22
Lemar Durant 22
Diontae Spencer 21
Mike Jones 20

WR by Receiving Yards:

NAME Yds
Greg Ellingson 749
SJ Green 705
Brad Sinopoli 589
Bryan Burnham 546
Namaan Roosevelt 538
Brandon Zylstra 537
Vidal Hazelton 523
BJ Cunningham 505
Darvin Adams 469
Nick Moore 456
Armanti Edwards 444
Bakari Grant 429
Ernest Jackson 426
Duron Carter 415
Marquay McDaniel 414
Kamar Jorden (inj) 403
Emmanuel Arceneaux 399
Jalen Saunders 391
Nik Lewis 361
DaVaris Daniels 361
Luke Tasker 346
Weston Dressler (inj) 342
Bryant Mitchell 317
Joshua Stangby 315
Lemar Durant 313
Diontae Spencer 306
Tiquan Underwood 302
Duke Williams 282
Marco Iannuzzi 281
DeVier Posey(inj) 280

WR by Receiving Touchdowns:

NAME Rec TDs
Greg Ellingson 5
Bakari Grant 5
Duron Carter 5
Vidal Hazelton 4
Darvin Adams 4
Kamar Jorden (inj) 4
SJ Green 3
Brad Sinopoli 3
Namaan Roosevelt 3
BJ Cunningham 3
Ernest Jackson 3
Marquay McDaniel 3
Emmanuel Arceneaux 3
Joshua Stangby 3
Bryan Burnham 2
Jalen Saunders 2
DaVaris Daniels 2
Weston Dressler (inj) 2
Bryant Mitchell 2
Lemar Durant 2
Diontae Spencer 2
Tiquan Underwood 2
DeVier Posey(inj) 2
Marken Michel 2
Clarence Denmark 2
Julian Feoli Gudino 2
Ryan Lankford 2
Caleb Holley 2
Adarius Bowman (inj) 2
Demarr Aultman 2

Week 9: Running Back Stats

RB by Carries:

NAME Car
Jerome Messam 97
Andrew Harris 79
Cameron Marshall 75
Jeremiah Johnson 73
Tyrell Sutton 66
Travon Van 53
William Powell 52
Brandon Whittaker 40
James Wilder 36
LaDarius Perkins 35
Mossis Madu 35
CJ Gable 25
Ross Scheuerman 23
Brandon Rutley 23
John White 20
Chris Rainey 19
Brendan Gillanders 18
Roy Finch 14
Calvin McCarty 12
Timothy Flanders 9

RB by Rushing Yards:

NAME Rush Yds
Jerome Messam 490
Jeremiah Johnson 476
Andrew Harris 390
Cameron Marshall 389
Tyrell Sutton 361
William Powell 272
Travon Van 207
Brandon Whittaker 187
James Wilder 164
Mossis Madu 157
LaDarius Perkins 156
Ross Scheuerman 145
Brandon Rutley 124
CJ Gable 118
Brendan Gillanders 115
John White 112
JC Beaulieu 91
Roy Finch 78
Chris Rainey 69
Timothy Flanders 60

RB by Rushing Touchdowns:

NAME Rush TDs
Jerome Messam 6
Jeremiah Johnson 5
Andrew Harris 4
Cameron Marshall 2
Tyrell Sutton 2
William Powell 2
Travon Van 2
Mossis Madu 1
Ross Scheuerman 1
John White 1
JC Beaulieu 1
Chris Rainey 1
Timothy Flanders 1
Shaq Murray-Lawrence 1
Stefan Logan 1
Ante Milanovic-Litre 1

RB by Receptions:

NAME Rec
Anthony Coombs 44
Andrew Harris 42
Cameron Marshall 25
Jeremiah Johnson 23
William Powell 17
Chris Rainey 17
Jerome Messam 15
Brandon Whittaker 15
Tyrell Sutton 14
James Wilder 14
CJ Gable 13
Mossis Madu 11
Patrick Lavoie 11
Travon Van 9
Ross Scheuerman 9
Calvin McCarty 9
Brandon Rutley 8
Roy Finch 8
Declan Cross 8
LaDarius Perkins 6

RB by Receiving Yards:

NAME Rec Yds
Anthony Coombs 406
Andrew Harris 339
Jeremiah Johnson 250
Cameron Marshall 217
Chris Rainey 184
William Powell 153
Brandon Whittaker 112
Jerome Messam 105
CJ Gable 101
Declan Cross 94
Tyrell Sutton 92
James Wilder 92
Patrick Lavoie 78
Ross Scheuerman 74
Terry Williams 74
LaDarius Perkins 73
Spencer Moore 70
Brandon Rutley 63
Calvin McCarty 58
Mossis Madu 51

RB by Receiving Touchdowns:

NAME Rec TDs
Jeremiah Johnson 2
Anthony Coombs 1
Cameron Marshall 1
Chris Rainey 1
William Powell 1
Declan Cross 1
LaDarius Perkins 1
Mossis Madu 1

Week 9: Quarterback Stats

QB by Passing Yards:

NAME Pass Yds
Trevor Harris 2468
Ricky Ray 2421
Mike Reilly 2329
Kevin Glenn 2104
Bo Levi Mitchell 2081
Matt Nichols 2024
Darian Durant 1977
Zach Collaros 1641
Travis Lulay 1491
Jonathan Jennings 1048
Cody Fajardo 150
Andrew Buckley 127
Brandon Bridge 124
Jeremiah Masoli 77
Jeff Mathews 67

QB by Passing Touchdowns:

NAME Pass TDs
Trevor Harris 16
Kevin Glenn 14
Mike Reilly 13
Bo Levi Mitchell 13
Matt Nichols 13
Ricky Ray 10
Darian Durant 10
Travis Lulay 8
Zach Collaros 7
Jonathan Jennings 3
Brandon Bridge 2
Andrew Buckley 1

QB by Rushing TDs:

NAME Rush TDs
Travis Lulay 5
Mike Reilly 4
Kevin Glenn 2
Cody Fajardo 2
Jeremiah Masoli 2
Dan Lefevour 2
Ryan Lindley 2
Matt Nichols 1
Andrew Buckley 1
Vernon Adams Jr 1

Week 9: Rankings

QB by Average FPTS

NAME FPTS
Mike Reilly 24.82
Kevin Glenn 20.31
Matt Nichols 19.69
Trevor Harris 19.04
Bo Levi Mitchell 18.46
Ricky Ray 18.03
Travis Lulay 16.85
Darian Durant 15.93
Zach Collaros 11.51
Jonathan Jennings 9.58
Cody Fajardo 4.50
Andrew Buckley 3.75
Brandon Bridge 3.32
Jeremiah Masoli 3.21
Dan Lefevour 2.66
Ryan Lindley 2.33
Vernon Adams Jr 0.99
Jeff Mathews 0.68
Alex Ross 0.63
Drew Tate -2.00

RB by Average FPTS

NAME FPTS
Jeremiah Johnson 14.87
Andrew Harris 13.56
Jerome Messam 12.79
William Powell 12.10
Tyrell Sutton 12.02
Roy Finch 11.10
Cameron Marshall 11.09
Chris Rainey 10.73
LaDarius Perkins 10.68
Travon Van 9.60
Ross Scheuerman 9.30
Ante Milanovic-Litre 8.60
Brandon Rutley 8.35
Martese Jackson 8.24
Mossis Madu 8.20
Terry Williams 7.83
Stefan Logan 7.11
John White 6.80
Kendial Lawrence 6.45
Shaq Murray-Lawrence 6.25
Anthony Coombs 6.24
Timothy Flanders 6.00
Brandon Whittaker 5.98
Brendan Gillanders 5.00
CJ Gable 4.98

WR by Average FPTS

NAME FPTS
DeVier Posey(inj) 13.33
Greg Ellingson 13.11
Demarr Aultman 13.08
Ryan Lankford 11.82
Kamar Jorden (inj) 11.73
Chris Williams 11.50
SJ Green 11.06
Bryant Mitchell 10.93
Vidal Hazelton 10.90
Duron Carter 10.83
Bakari Grant 10.56
BJ Cunningham 10.54
Darvin Adams 10.30
Namaan Roosevelt 10.26
Jalen Saunders 10.23
Brandon Zylstra 10.10
Marquay McDaniel 9.90
Weston Dressler (inj) 9.84
Marken Michel 9.76
Bryan Burnham 9.51
Brad Sinopoli 9.36
Adarius Bowman (inj) 9.10
Ernest Jackson 8.90
Diontae Spencer 8.39
Joshua Stangby 8.31
DaVaris Daniels 8.02
Armanti Edwards 7.68
Emmanuel Arceneaux 7.24
Caleb Holley 7.15
Tiquan Underwood 7.03
Duke Williams 6.84
Jasper Collins 6.83
Christion Jones 6.48
Nick Moore 6.45
Brandon Banks 6.36
Kenny Stafford 6.30
Lemar Durant 6.26
Luke Tasker 5.80
Quincy McDuffie 5.75
Nik Lewis 5.73

Week 8: Matchup Analysis

Welcome to Week 8, Football Fans!

Let’s dive into the numbers and see what they can tell us about this week’s match-ups.

Thursday Aug 10 530 PM MDT
Edmonton Eskimos at Ottawa RedBlacks

Edmonton goes into this game scoring the MOST fantasy points at the QB position. They go up against an Ottawa Defense that gives up the 2nd most to QBs. Reilly has averaged over 31 FPTS in his last three games. He is a must start and QB1 this week.

Edmonton has the third best in the league Defense against QBs. I know Trevor Harris is due for a huge game soon, but I’m not certain this is it. He hasn’t scored over 25 FPTS all season.

Perkins looked decent in his first start for Edmonton. Overall the Eskimos on paper look terrible in the backfield, due to many injuries. But Perkins should be a decent value play for at least another week.

If healthy, William Powell is also hard to pass up based on his salary. Limit your expectations, however, as Edmonton has been solid against the run, limiting opposing RB’s to 13 FPTS per game. If Madu gets the start, not much changes.

Edmonton receivers score the 2nd most FPTS in the league. Ottawa gives up the 6th most. We’ll have to watch for the status of Brandon Zylstra’s injury. Hazelton looks like a must start, averaging 15 FPTS since Bowman went down, and Bryant Mitchell has emerged with two TDs in his three games.

Ellingson and Sinopoli will continue to be popular starts this week, despite Edmonton being the 2nd best in the league against WRs. Ellingson has double-digit FPTS in 5 of 7 games with TDs in the last 3.

Friday Aug 11 530 PM MDT
Toronto Argos at Montreal Alouettes

Ricky Ray is nursing a shoulder injury. We’ll have to watch for who gets the start. The backup in Cody Fajardo doesn’t inspire much confidence, and it’s a mediocre matchup at best – 6th best QB versus 6th best Defense against the position. I think there are better matchups to be found this week but there are those who will take a flier based on his salary alone.

Darian Durant will be rested off the bye week, but his 2nd worst in the league FPTS at the QB position goes up against Toronto’s 2nd best Defense. Avoid. Durant has thrown 5 picks in his last three games and has only scored over 20 FPTS twice this season.

Toronto’s backfield continues to be a wasteland for Fantasy owners. Whittaker, Wilder Jr, Cross and McDaniel have never seen double-digit FPTS. Martese Jackson gets his points inconsistently on punt and kick returns – feast or famine. Coombs gets in on the passing game but is too inconsistent to start.

Anyone’s guess for Sutton or Rutley to get the start in Week 8. If Sutton is a go, I like the matchup and can see him scoring as high as RB4. Slightly less optimistic about Rutley. They’ll go against Toronto’s 6th best Defense against the RB position.

Toronto receivers will be challenged against the third best D against the position. SJ Green is a must start, of course. Averaging 10 targets per game, with a floor in the double-digits. If Armanti Edwards doesn’t return this week, look for targets to go to Fuller and Paden. DeVier Posey is getting ready to come back from injury. Limit expectations if a backup QB getting the start.

Montreal sits ranked 6th in the league at the WR position. They’ll go against the 4th best D. I like the duo of Ernest Jackson and BJ Cunningham this week, both having three straight double-digit FPTS performances. Also look for Nik Lewis to continue to fill the safety valve roll for Durant.

Saturday Aug 12 530 PM MDT
Winnipeg BlueBombers at Hamilton Ti-Cats

Expect Nichols to have a fine outing against Hamilton, as most QBs have done. Hamilton is the worst in the league against QBs, giving up almost 30 FPTS per game.

One would think it crazy to start Zach Collaros. But on paper it’s not that terrible. Okay, it’s a little terrible. But look what he was able to do against Edmonton last week – 3 TDs and 23 FPTS, at his salary I’d take that all day long. However, I don’t see him consistently scoring 20 FPTS – this was his first time this season to exceed 18. Winnipeg currently sits 5th best against QBs.

Andrew Harris claims RB1 honours this week, going up against a Hamilton Defense 2nd worst against RBs, allowing over 17 FPTS per game.

Hamilton’s backfield has been a dumpster fire. CJ Gable has been getting the start lately but doesn’t have a single game over 9 FPTS. Schueurman only slightly better, with a 12 point performance but hasn’t been the feature back since Week 5. Winnipeg, however, is the WORST in the league against the backfield. An attractive matchup that I still can’t get behind.

You know the routine, load up on whoever is playing against Hamilton, worst in the league against WRs. So this week we have to start Darvin Adams, and Ryan Lankford if his salary doesn’t creep. He was our Value Play Of The Week, last week, and it paid off. I hope you were able to take advantage! And there may be some extreme value plays in Feoli-Gudino (73 rec yds in his last game) and Tyron Thorpe (averaging over 8 targets and 63 rec yds per game). I’m still waiting for the re-emergence of Clarence Denmark – when he’s on, he’s a Touchdown machine.

Hamilton receivers. Oh, Hamilton receivers. What can I possibly say. The numbers speak for themselves:
Tyms – 2.78 FPTS
Jones – 3.72 FPTS
Banks – 7.18 FPTS
Tasker – 5.70 FPTS
The lone bright spot has been Jalen Saunders, averaging 11.62 FPTS. Last week we saw Demarr Aultman get his first start which included a TD and almost 14 FPTS. Winnipeg gives up the 2nd most in the league to Receivers, so if they are going to have an emergence game, this is it.

Sunday Aug 13 600 PM MDT
BC Lions at Sask Roughriders

Kevin Glenn looked dead inside as he floundered his way to sub-5 point performance last week. He’ll get a second crack at it as the two teams go home-and-home. On paper, Glenn still has a good matchup – 4th most points at the QB position versus BC’s 3rd worst Defense. I expect a bit of a different game but am still going to temper expectations.

The other side of the ball is something to watch. Will Lulay continue to get the start or will it fall back on Jennings’ shoulders? If Lulay gets the start, he should start in your lineup as well. Over his last four games he’s averaged over 26 FPTS per game, with an incredible 20 point floor and ceiling well into the 30’s.

BC is currently the best team in the league against opposing RBs, limiting backfields to under 11 FPTS per game. Sit Cameron Marshall this week, despite his value salary. Can’t trust this matchup.

We are really going to have to watch the roster details for BC’s backfield. I can’t imagine JJohnson not starting, but last week we saw him sit the latter part of the game due to a Canadian Ratio issue. Should his carries not be vultured this week, I see JJ as a solid RB2 against a slightly worse than average SSK Defense.

Sask receivers continue to lead the way, best in the league. The rematch against BC is attractive on paper, with BC giving up the 4th most FPTS to WRs. Expect Duron Carter to continue to get targets. Roosevelt is a safe play every week. Robb Bagg’s usage is growing but he is not yet Fantasy relevant. Bakari Grant is an interesting value play, with four TDs in six games and averages double-digit FPTS.

As a core, BC’s receivers are scoring the 2nd fewest FPTS in the league. This is surprising! We saw speedster Chris Williams back in action last week. I’m projecting a ton of yards and score for him this week against an average Sask D. Bryan Burnham continues to impress and is becoming close to a safe bet. Manny Arceneaux continues to underwhelm, having scored double-digit FPTS only once this year.

 

Good luck in Week 8, everyone!

Week 8: Projections!

Projections are calculated using the player’s average FPTS of the current season, takes into account the strength/weakness of the matchup, plus adds/subtracts bonuses for other considerations such as – home or away, streaking performance (performance over the last 4 games only vs entire season), current team trends and injuries/support roster changes.

Please note the 2017 Fantasy Scoring system, down the left side-bar.

Week 8 QB Projections:

Mike Reilly 26.83
Travis Lulay 25.46
Matt Nichols 24.91
Trevor Harris 20.54
Ricky Ray 18.40
Kevin Glenn 17.78
Darian Durant 15.80
Zach Collaros 15.14
Jonathan Jennings 10.24
Brandon Bridge 4.46
Cody Fajardo 3.83
Jeremiah Masoli 3.35
Dan Lefevour 3.31
Ryan Lindley 2.13
Vernon Adams Jr 1.14
Alex Ross 1.13

Week 8 RB Projections:

NAME PROJ
Andrew Harris 18.95
Jeremiah Johnson 15.26
Tyrell Sutton 14.12
William Powell 12.52
LaDarius Perkins 12.40
Travon Van 10.51
CJ Gable 10.22
Brandon Rutley 9.97
Cameron Marshall 9.78
Mossis Madu 9.61
Shaq Murray-Lawrence 9.54
Chris Rainey 8.94
Martese Jackson 8.50
John White 7.44
Stefan Logan 7.13
Kendial Lawrence 7.06
Anthony Coombs 6.24
Ross Scheuerman 4.87
Greg Morris 4.84
Brendan Gillanders 4.76
Timothy Flanders 4.37
Brandon Whittaker 4.30
James Wilder 3.24
JC Beaulieu 3.17
Declan Cross 3.14

Week 8 WR Projections:

NAME PROJ
Greg Ellingson 16.58
SJ Green 16.40
Vidal Hazelton 16.19
Chris Williams 16.10
Darvin Adams 15.31
Namaan Roosevelt 15.19
Duron Carter 14.38
Bryan Burnham 14.28
Ernest Jackson 14.09
Brandon Zylstra 12.78
BJ Cunningham 12.67
Jalen Saunders 12.64
Ryan Lankford 12.46
Bryant Mitchell 12.43
Emmanuel Arceneaux 12.12
Brad Sinopoli 11.58
Bakari Grant 10.07
Luke Tasker 10.00
Brandon Banks 9.05
Armanti Edwards 8.84
Jasper Collins 8.61
Joshua Stangby 8.00
Nik Lewis 8.00
Khalil Paden 7.00
Jeff Fuller 6.00