Welcome to Week 9!
We’ve got four games on tap this week, it all gets started on Thursday night. Let’s see what the numbers can give us this week.
Thursday Aug 17 630 PM MDT
Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg BlueBombers
Mike Reilly has been averaging just a tick under 30 FPTS per game over his last four games. He’ll go up against a Winnipeg D rated in the bottom half of the league against QBs . Once again this makes Mike our QB1 for the week and a must start.
For Edmonton’s backfield, Ladarius Perkins now has two starts under his belt. Double digit FPTS in both. Winnipeg is terrible against the run, 2nd worst in the league to the position. Start Perkins with confidence.
Winnipeg is also giving up the 2nd most points to the WR position. Fire up your Edmonton receivers, the league leading core should have a good day with plenty of points to go around. Zylstra is only on the IR until Aug 16, so watch for updates. Otherwise, deploy Hazelton who gets the red-zone targets, and well as Bryant Mitchell who has two TDs in his four games and is averaging double-digit FPTS. I’m also watching for the emergence of Kenny Stafford, if Zylstra continues to sit out.
Matt Nichols currently sits as the 2nd highest scoring QB, a couple points back of Reilly. Edmonton’s Defense against QBs is decent, 3rd best in the league, but Nichols should be a decent start regardless. Dude has an average of 22 FPTS per game over his last four games, hasn’t thrown a pick since week 5, and has 8 passing TDs since then.
In Winnipeg’s backfield, Andrew Harris is always a must start, but he’ll be tempered by the best Run Defense in the league – Edmonton only surrenders an average of 12 FPTS to all backfields, per game. Should Winnipeg be able to keep the score even with Edmonton, expect Harris to get some good usage. But watch again for Timothy Flanders vulturing some carries moving foward.
Winnipeg receivers will be going up against the 2nd best Defense of the Eskimos. Clarence Denmark’s usage is increasing, but without the red zone targets I still can’t recommend he be in your lineup. Ryan Lankford remains in interesting Flex option with boom-or-bust potential in the return game. Thorpe and Feoli Gudino are getting increased looks but remain single-digit FPTS on average. Darvin Adams is still your best bet here with Dressler out, however Buddy’s floor to ceiling is widely unpredictable. Over the last four weeks he has a two stinkers, and two monsters.
Friday Aug 18 530 PM MDT
Ottawa RedBlacks at Hamilton Ti-Cats
Trevor Harris will take his 6th best QB ranking up against the worst Defense in the league. Hamilton gives up over 28 FPTS per game to opposing QBs. This makes Harris a must start, and QB2 this week.
If we see Powell in the backfield, he becomes RB1 for the week against the worst run D in Hamilton. Surrendering an AVERAGE of 18 FPTS per game, look for the OTT backfield to feast while controlling the clock. If Powell is still out, Madu can be deployed but I dont project him quite as high.
The lowly TiCats Defense against WR’s will ensure Ellingson, Sinopoli and Spencer should have great opportunity. I even see Stangby getting in on the action. Get them all into your lineup. Ellingson is a clear WR1 this week, I project a hundred yards with a major.
As for Hamilton Offense: worst in the league at all three positions, QB, RB and WR. Ottawa on the other hand, gives up the 2nd most points to QBs, and 3rd most points to both RBs and WRs. Hamilton has a real chance here to take advantage of the matchup. Realistically, I can see Collaros getting double-digit FPTS, but I don’t see him getting 20. Only play him if you really need to save the salary to spend elsewhere.
Just can’t start CJ Gable. Not a single double-digit performance, with 8.7 FPTS being his best game back in week 6.
Roll with Saunders as long as his salary doesn’t start to creep. And think about taking a flier on Demarr Aultman, who has 2 TDs in 2 games, and averages over 13 FPTS per.
Friday Aug 18 830 PM MDT
Calgary Stampeders at BC Lions
One super interesting thing I’d like to point out about Bo Levi Mitchell. Dude does not have a single rushing yard on the season. Not even a single attempt. Dude does not run. Therefore, dude does not get rushing TDs. For this reason, one of the best passers in the game only sits in 4th place overall in average FPTS. That said, this week he goes up against a BC defense which gives up the 3rd most to QBs. Get BLM in your lineup and expect low 20’s FPTS.
Jerome Messam will lead the 2nd best backfield against the 2nd best Defense against RBs. Not the best matchup on paper, but it’s Messam. He’s always a must start. Five TDs in the his last three games. I see him rushing for 80 and scoring at least one major.
Calgary’s receivers combine for an average of 40 FPTS per game, 3rd best in the league. Up against a middle of the road Defense in BC. BLM has been doing a good job of spreading it around, making the right picks tough to find. Assuming similar rosters as before their Bye week, McDaniel takes the top position on the field, not Marken Michel. I’m convincing myself to be cautiously optimistic about DaVaris Daniels this week.
BC’s Quarterback situation is going to require some monitoring. Will Jennings be back in form? Will Lulay get the start? Whoever it may be, they’ll be in tough against the best Defense in the league against QBs.
JJohnson will take his 1st in the league backfield ranking against a 5th best Calgary Defense. I like the start for JJ and hope to see him rumble for at least 12 FPTS this week. At his salary though, you really need Buddy to find the end zone and push closer to the 20 FPTS mark.
BC continues to underwhelm at the WR position and they’ll go up against Calgary’s Defense, #1 in the league against WRs. Chris Williams should get his deep opportunities, and Burnham maybe a good start. I’m still having troubles getting behind Arceneaux, having only scored single digits the last three weeks straight.
Saturday Aug 19 200 PM MDT
Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argos
The QB position in Montreal scores the 2nd fewest FPTS of all team’s QBs. Surprisingly, Toronto has the 2nd best Defense against. Avoid this matchup. Last week in Toronto, Durant was only able to muster 17 FPTS.
Sutton was held to a mere 9 FPTS last week. I see him having a similar performance this week. I project him at 82 rushing yards and another 22 through the air. Without a TD he won’t crack double-digits. If you’re starting him for his easy salary, cross your fingers for that TD and garbage time points.
Montreal’s 6th best WR core will face Toronto’s 4th best Defense. I like Ernest Jackson, building on his recent momentum. Buddy has double-digit FPTS in his last four games straight, including a pair of TDs. Tiquan Underwood feels due for a big game, but has only hit upwards of 15 FPTS once. Nik Lewis and BJ Cunningham should continue to get their looks.
Toronto is another team with questions at the QB position. It’s my personal opinion that Fajardo needs the start. If he gets it, I’m going to pull some crazy projections out of the air, let’s say – 270 yards passing, 1 passing TD, 1 rushing TD, 2 picks. That looks like 17 FPTS. We’ll go with that. 🙂
Toronto’s backfield, once again, not very fantasy relevant. Coombs has double-digits in one game of eight. Whittaker in one game of five. Zero for seven for Wilder Jr, zero for five for Declan Cross. Martese Jackson collects the majority of his points in the return game, which is widely inconsistent.
Despite a stinker last week, SJ Green remains an option. Only 3 points last week, but still had 7 targets from his backup QBs. He’ll go up against a Montreal Defense 3rd best in the league against WRs.