Week 19: Beta Projections

Just for fun, the 2018 model tweaked a bit more. Likely won’t have time for RB or WR but we’ll see.  This time of year gets busy at work.

Good luck this week, everyone!

Week 19 QB Beta Projections:

NAME Floor Median Ceiling Proj
Trevor Harris 13.55 21.98 30.41 23.42
Jeremiah Masoli 0.77 14.86 28.94 20.04
Matt Nichols 6.94 17.12 27.30 20.02
Kevin Glenn 1.15 17.70 34.24 19.88
Mike Reilly 13.28 22.81 32.33 19.87
Jonathan Jennings 2.60 14.49 26.39 18.99
Bo Levi Mitchell 8.17 16.12 24.06 17.13
Darian Durant 4.90 15.96 27.02 14.08

Week 19: Fantasy Projections

Projections are calculated using the player’s average FPTS of the current season, takes into account the strength/weakness of the matchup, plus adds/subtracts bonuses for other considerations such as – home or away, streaking performance (performance over the last 4 games only vs entire season), current team trends and injuries/support roster changes.

Please note the 2017 Fantasy Scoring system, down the left side-bar.

Week 19 QB Projections:

NAME PROJ
Trevor Harris 23.09
Matt Nichols 20.36
Kevin Glenn 19.97
Jeremiah Masoli 19.82
Mike Reilly 19.06
Jonathan Jennings 19.05
Bo Levi Mitchell 17.63
Darian Durant 14.16

Week 19 RB Projections:

NAME PROJ
Jeremiah Johnson 14.38
Cameron Marshall 14.02
Jerome Messam 13.97
Andrew Harris 13.65
Tyrell Sutton 12.67
William Powell 11.89
Chris Rainey 10.84
CJ Gable 10.61
LaDarius Perkins 9.18
Stefan Logan 7.69
Terry Williams 6.57
Trent Richardson 5.95

Week 19 WR Projections:

NAME PROJ
Greg Ellingson 16.82
Weston Dressler 14.53
Bryan Burnham 13.37
Brandon Banks 13.09
Derel Walker 12.83
Brandon Zylstra 12.72
Diontae Spencer 12.56
Luke Tasker 12.00
Bakari Grant 11.70
Emmanuel Arceneaux 11.27
DaVaris Daniels 10.21
Kamar Jorden 10.19
Joshua Stangby 9.85
Clarence Denmark 9.63
BJ Cunningham 9.31
Marquay McDaniel (out!) 9.27
Jalen Saunders 9.24
Ryan Lankford 8.38
Bryant Mitchell 8.11
Christion Jones 7.99
Vidal Hazelton 7.60
Ernest Jackson 7.54
Demarr Aultman 6.88
Nick Moore 6.50
Duron Carter 5.93

Week 19: Fantasy Points For/Against Per Position

FPTS For:

Use the table below to see how many fantasy points each team is scoring at each position.  Higher numbers are better. For example, Saskatchewan QBs are averaging 20.94 FPTS per game. Hamilton RBs are only averaging 11.58 FPTS per game.

TEAM QB RB WR
BC 19.84 18.41 29.33
CGY 17.36 15.71 32.55
EDM 24.22 13.38 39.56
SSK 20.94 11.70 37.81
WPG 22.12 16.16 33.14
HAM 16.61 11.58 31.00
TOR 20.59 19.48 29.91
OTT 19.67 14.59 35.62
MTL 14.30 13.33 26.97

FPTS Against:

Use the table below to see how many fantasy points each team is giving up to each position.  Lower numbers are better. For example, QBs going up against Calgary are only able to score an average of 15.35 FPTS. WRs facing Ottawa are scoring over 33.6 FPTS, on average per game.

TEAM QB RB WR
BC 21.42 12.49 34.71
CGY 15.35 12.26 25.36
EDM 18.90 16.61 28.47
SSK 18.18 14.94 30.19
WPG 21.91 17.27 39.54
HAM 23.63 13.67 39.95
TOR 17.15 14.36 32.89
OTT 19.29 14.20 33.69
MTL 20.98 19.49 32.89

 

Week 19: Fantasy Rankings

QB by Average FPTS:

NAME FPPG
Mike Reilly 23.34
Trevor Harris 19.16
Matt Nichols 18.66
Ricky Ray 17.59
Kevin Glenn 15.75
Travis Lulay 15.14
Bo Levi Mitchell 14.96
Jonathan Jennings 13.36
Darian Durant 12.46
Jeremiah Masoli 11.86
Zach Collaros 9.76
Brandon Bridge 7.85
Matt Shiltz 6.44

RB by Average FPTS:

NAME FPPG
CJ Gable 15.24
Andrew Harris 13.14
Jeremiah Johnson 12.77
William Powell 12.28
Terry Williams 12.22
Chris Rainey 11.19
Tyrell Sutton 11.00
Jerome Messam 10.66
Cameron Marshall 10.52
Mossis Madu 10.36
Roy Finch 10.11
James Wilder 9.99
Ante Milanovic-Litre 8.60
LaDarius Perkins 8.53
Brandon Rutley 8.20
Martese Jackson 7.96
Stefan Logan 7.25
Ross Scheuerman 7.23
Timothy Flanders 7.21
Brandon Whittaker 6.48
Kienan Lafrance 5.87
Shaq Murray-Lawrence 4.70
Trent Richardson 4.47
Declan Cross 4.16

WR by Average FPTS:

NAME FPPG
Brandon Zylstra 13.07
Greg Ellingson 12.08
Derel Walker 11.98
SJ Green 11.29
Diontae Spencer 10.89
Kamar Jorden 10.88
Namaan Roosevelt 10.82
Brandon Banks 10.63
Duron Carter 10.62
Darvin Adams 10.41
Bryant Mitchell 9.89
DeVier Posey 9.75
Bryan Burnham 9.69
Weston Dressler 9.31
Vidal Hazelton 9.27
Jalen Saunders 8.86
Bakari Grant 8.24
Ryan Lankford 8.18
Emmanuel Arceneaux 7.89
BJ Cunningham 7.84
Marquay McDaniel 7.76
Kenny Stafford 7.70
DaVaris Daniels 7.69
Marken Michel 7.67
Luke Tasker 7.66
Armanti Edwards 7.49
Christion Jones 7.48
Joshua Stangby 7.40
Brad Sinopoli 7.38
Duke Williams 7.35
Ernest Jackson 7.11