Week 3: Matchup Analysis

Ottawa RedBlacks @ Calgary Stampeders

This could be the game of the week. I can see this going two ways.

Trevor Harris put aside any doubts we may have had regarding his health. He was able to throw over 340 yards and two majors against, what was suppose to be, a solid Sask defense. Can he do the same against what we know is a solid Calgary defense? This early in the year I’m going to watch this one with great interest but I’m not starting Trevor.

We saw a couple very different games out of Bo Levi so far this season. His opener against Hamilton was nothing to write home about, but his performance in Week 2 against Toronto will solidify Bo in many people’s fantasy lineups. Ottawa, having played only one, one-sided game against SSK so far currently ranks THE BEST against QBs so far this year. But I expect Bo to do just fine.

Powell looks great on paper as well, having had a monster game against Sask. I think his stats will average out against after a mediocre showing against this Calgary Defense. Temper expectations.

Calgary’s backfield continues to be a two-headed monster. 21 to 19 carries split almost dead even between Don Jackson and Terry Williams. Jackson seems to be the more explosive runner and takes bigger advantage of his opportunities, but I can only recommend the start if his salary continues to be low.

I don’t think I need to hype up Ellingson, Spencer and Sinopoli. You know you’re starting these guys. Just let me play a bit of devil’s advocate first… Calgary gives us the FEWEST fantasy points to Wide Receivers so far in the early season… yeah, you’re still starting these guys.

On the other hand, Ottawa gave up almost 40 FPTS to receivers in their opener. This makes things look good for the Calgary receivers. But who do you go with? Bo really spreads the ball around, everyone gets opportunities. Based on the numbers alone, my preference would be Rogers, Jorden, Daniels. In that order.

Winnipeg BlueBombers @ Hamilton Ti-Cats

This could be the game of the week. Wait, did I already say that? Seriously the way this game plays out I feel like it is setting up to be a barn-burner. Which is always fun for Fantasy!

First of all, we’ve got Streveler. He was usable as a Fantasy QB in Week 1, and was an AMAZING Fantasy QB in Week 2, scoring over 37 FPTS. Granted, it was against a lowly Montreal Defense. This week he’ll go up against a perfectly average Hamilton D. If you can get him for a decent salary, let’s go Strevs!

Masoli on the other side of the ball is giving Hamilton’s brass no reason to be looking to the sideline for Johnny. Almost 30 FPTS last week in Edmonton, throwing three TDs and rushing for 60 yards. I like those kind of numbers for Fantasy as well. Winnipeg gives up the 4th most FPTS to QBs.

In Winnipeg’s backfield, Andrew Harris has over 200 combined yards in his two first games. 9 total receptions if you’re scoring PPR. Get him in your lineup against this Hamilton Defense giving up an average of almost 18 FPTS to backfields.

As for Hamilton’s running game… an absolute wasteland in Week 1, only to have Mercer Timmis run all over the Eskimos with 133 yards and a pair of scores. How can you predict this one? Yikes. Are we going to see John White yet? And Alex Green could be coming back as well.  Avoid the uncertainty.

If Darvin Adams keeps throwing TDs, I want him in my lineup. Unfortunately we can’t count on that. So I’m going for a value pick here, Wolitarsky was a college room mate of Streveler. They seem to have found some chemistry.

Mike Jones was kept off the stats sheet last week, but Banks and Tasker lit it up! Terrence Toliver saw some good opportunities in his first game back. These guys will be going up against the 4th best D against receivers, giving up just under 35 FPTS to the WR position per game.

BC Lions @ Edmonton Eskimos

This could be the game of the week… ok stop it.

But really interested to see Jennings in his second game of the season. He was OK in his opener, but goes up against an Edmonton Defense currently ranked 2nd last against opposing QBs. A real opportunity for the Lions to gain some momentum in the West.
On the other side of the ball we have Mike Reilly. If you’re spending the salary, you know what you’re getting.

In Week 1, BC backfield was all Jeremiah Johnson, there was no tandem with Rutley as some expected. If this continues, Johnson becomes a viable start every week, despite a relatively slow Week 1. Edmonton is merely average against backfields.
And I’m pretty much saying the same thing again this week for CJ Gable. Reilly is stealing all his opportunity. Hard to recommend the start until we get to see more goal-line usage from him.

Here’s where Jennings could really shine. Edmonton is currently giving up the MOST FPTS to Wide Receivers. I want to get Arceneaux and Burnham in my lineups this week.

And what can I really say about Edmonton receivers? Derel Walker is in your lineup, league leader. Duke Williams is still offering a competitive Salary given his performance and opportunity. Bryant looks to make his return, Hazelton is still out.

Montreal Alouettes @ Sask Roughriders

This could be the game of the… no, it won’t. But it will still be interesting.

Montreal isn’t really a good enough team to have much Fantasy impact, outside of Tyrel Sutton. Willy just isn’t getting enough done on the field to make himself or his receivers very valuable. We’ll see if Adams Jr can light a fire under his ass.

However, what is interesting is that we may have a great sleeper option at QB here. With Collaros out, Brandon Bridge is an attractive option. Low salary and he gets things done on his feet. That equals Fantasy Points! If he’s starting the game, I’m starting him in my lineup.

Jerome Messam also looks to be a risky Fantasy option for Week 3. Normally a back going up against Montreal would be an easy start.  There’s just too many mouths to feed. Watch for Tre Mason AND Marcus Thigpen to steal some touches. Mason currently sees a bit less than half of Messam’s usage, who wasn’t overly effective last week.  Thigpen looks to have the starting role on the depth chart.

Will Duron Carter play some Receiver this week? Doesn’t sound like it. Roosevelt disappointed in Week 2 but I wouldn’t expect that to be a trend.

Week 3: Fantasy Projections

Keep checking back for updates as the week progresses!

QB Projections:

Name Team Projection
Reilly, Mike EDM 26.00
Mitchell, Bo Levi CGY 23.85
Masoli, Jeremiah HAM 23.60
Streveler, Chris WPG 23.23
Jennings, Jonathon BC 22.34
Harris, Trevor OTT 20.95
Bridge, Brandon SSK 19.85
Willy, Drew MTL 16.43
Arbuckle, Nick CGY 2.20
Mathews, Jeff MTL 2.10
Bennett, Bryan WPG 1.95
Davis, Dominique OTT 0.34

RB Projections:

Name Team Projection
Harris, Andrew WPG 18.45
Johnson, Jeremiah BC 15.52
Powell, William OTT 13.25
Jackson, Don CGY 12.52
Thigpen, Marcus SSK 10.91
Sutton, Tyrell MTL 10.81
Rainey, Chris BC 10.57
Timmis, Mercer HAM 9.95
Williams, Terry CGY 9.73
Gable, CJ EDM 8.95
Logan, Stefan MTL 7.85
Lafrance, Kienan WPG 6.52
Messam, Jerome SSK 4.92
Moore, Spencer SSK 3.75
Robinson, Jordan EDM 3.52
Whitlock, Nikita HAM 3.25
McCarty, Calvin EDM 1.53
Beaulieu, Jean-Cristophe OTT 1.30
Stone, Ryder MTL 1.28
Lavoie, Patrick MTL 0.79
Langlais, William CGY 0.17

WR Projections:

Name Team Projection
Walker, Derel EDM 21.80
Rogers, Eric CGY 20.75
Arceneaux, Emmanuel BC 16.81
Ellingson, Greg OTT 16.56
Banks, Brandon HAM 15.98
Spencer, Diontae OTT 15.23
Tasker, Luke HAM 14.95
Roosevelt, Naaman SSK 13.59
Wolitarsky, Drew WPG 13.57
Daniels, DaVaris CGY 13.54
Williams, Duke EDM 12.56
Sinopoli, Brad OTT 12.54
Burnham, Bryan BC 12.25
Watson, Cory BC 11.36
Adams, Darvin WPG 11.15
Saunders, Jalen HAM 10.95
Jorden, Kamar CGY 10.85
Jones, Mike HAM 9.45
Holley, Caleb SSK 9.02
Jones, Christion SSK 8.21
Smith, Jamill EDM 7.71
Dressler, Weston WPG 7.67
Hazelton, Vidal EDM 7.50
Johnson, Shaquille BC 7.36
Toliver, Terrence HAM 6.81
Cunningham, B.J. MTL 6.75
Lewis, Eugene MTL 6.43
Williams, Chris MTL 6.43
Demski, Nic WPG 6.23
Michel, Marken CGY 6.14
Williams-Lambert, Jordan SSK 5.87
Simonise, Rashaun WPG 5.74
Evans, Shaquelle SSK 5.71
Rhymes, Dominique OTT 5.50
Begelton, Reginald CGY 5.34
Jackson, Ernest MTL 5.14
Stafford, Kenny EDM 5.14
Bowman, Adarius WPG 4.50
Lankford, Ryan WPG 4.17
Brescacin, Juwan CGY 3.99
Thomas, Noel OTT 3.33
Stanford, Joshua SSK 3.16
Collins, Ricky BC 2.72
Shuler, Miles EDM 1.82
Thomas Erlington, Sean HAM 1.63
Behar, Nathaniel EDM 1.49
Sindani, Richard CGY 1.24
Wilkerson, Bryce HAM 0.81
Petermann, Daniel WPG 0.63
Bailey, Devon SSK 0.61
Adjei, Natey EDM 0.29

Week 3: Start/Sit HeatMap

Start/Sit Heatmap is based on average performance at that position, versus strength/weakness of the current week’s matchup.
Green means start with confidence, Red means beware!

Week 3: Fantasy Points For/Against Per Position

FPTS For:

Use the table below to see how many fantasy points each team is scoring at each position.  Higher numbers are better. For example, Saskatchewan QBs are only averaging 10.53 FPTS per game. Calgary’s backfield is averaging over 25 FPTS per game.

TEAM QB RB WR
BC 21.02 15.70 21.30
CGY 23.32 25.45 44.68
EDM 30.33 8.88 45.30
SSK 10.53 10.75 33.80
WPG 30.85 19.10 45.95
HAM 23.07 15.15 44.13
TOR 15.88 20.90 10.98
OTT 21.80 25.60 38.00
MTL 10.70 16.98 23.10

FPTS Against:

Use the table below to see how many fantasy points each team is giving up to each position.  Lower numbers are better. For example, QBs going up against BC are only able to score an average of 14.24 FPTS. WRs facing Hamilton are scoring over 36.4 FPTS, on average per game.

TEAM QB RB WR
BC 14.24 15.80 29.80
CGY 14.96 11.35 22.28
EDM 23.65 17.15 46.88
SSK 20.30 24.50 26.38
WPG 20.89 11.78 34.90
HAM 20.56 17.43 36.45
TOR 21.94 20.10 42.03
OTT 8.74 9.70 37.20
MTL 32.30 22.80 35.17

Week 3: Starting Rosters

Note: All rosters are confirmed official one day before gameday, and will be updated as teams release their depth charts.

BC Lions ( confirmed ):
QB: Jonathon Jennings
RB: Jeremiah Johnson
FB: Lumbala
SB: Emmanuel Arceneaux (boundry), Cory Watson, Bryan Burnham
WR: Ricky Collins Jr (boundry), Shaq Johnson,
PR, KR: Rainey

Edmonton Eskimos ( confirmed ):
QB: Mike Reilly
RB: CJ Gable
FB: Calvin McCarty
SB: Duke Williams (boundry), Adjei, Behar, Kenny Stafford
WR: Derel Walker (boundry), Stafford
PR, KR: Robinson

Calgary Stampeders ( confirmed ):
QB: Bo Levi Mitchell
RB: Don Jackson
FB: William Langlais
SB: Eric Rogers (boundry), Kamar Jorden, Brescacin
WR: DaVaris Daniels (boundry), Begelton

Sask Roughriders ( confirmed ):
QB: Brandon Bridge
RB: Marcus Thigpen
FB: Spencer Moore
SB: Naaman Roosevelt (boundry), Williams-Lambert, Caleb Holley
WR: Evans (boundry), Stanford
PR, KR:

Winnipeg BlueBombers ( confirmed ):
QB: Chris Streveler
RB: Andrew Harris
FB: Miller
SB: Weston Dressler (boundry), Nic Demski, Adarius Bowman
WR: Darvin Adams (boundry), Wolitarsky
KR, PR: Kevi Fogg

Hamilton Ti-Cats ( confirmed ):
QB: Jeremiah Masoli
RB: Whitlock
FB:
SB: Mike Jones (boundry), Luke Tasker, Jalen Saunders
WR: Brandon Banks (boundry), Terrence Toliver
PR, KR: Williams

Toronto Argos ( projected ):
QB: James Franklin
RB: James Wilder Jr
FB: Declan Cross
SB: SJ Green, Armanti Edwards, Jimmy Ralph
WR: Brian Tyms, Malcolm Williams
PR, KR: Martese Jackson

Ottawa RedBlacks ( confirmed ):
QB: Trevor Harris
RB: William Powell
FB: Beaulieu
SB: Dominique Rhymes (boundry), Brad Sinopoli, Greg Ellingson
WR: Diontae Spencer (boundry), Hartley
PR, KR: Diontae Spencer

Montreal Alouettes ( confirmed ):
QB: Drew Willy
RB: Tyrell Sutton
FB: Lavoie
SB: BJ Cunningham, Ernest Jackson, Eugene Lewis
WR: Chris Williams,  G. Johnson
KR,PR: Stefan Logan

Week 3: Fantasy Rankings

QB by Average Fantasy Points:

Name Team FPTS
Reilly, Mike EDM 30.33
Streveler, Chris WPG 27.88
Masoli, Jeremiah HAM 23.07
Harris, Trevor OTT 21.40
Jennings, Jonathon BC 21.02
Mitchell, Bo Levi CGY 19.22
Willy, Drew MTL 11.34
Franklin, James TOR 10.34
Collaros, Zach SSK 8.28
Bennett, Bryan WPG 5.94
Arbuckle, Nick CGY 5.83
Ray, Ricky TOR 5.54
Bridge, Brandon SSK 4.50
Davis, Dominique OTT 0.40
Ross, Alex WPG 0.00
Mathews, Jeff MTL -1.28

RB by Average Fantasy Points:

Name Team FPTS
Powell, William OTT 23.80
Jackson, Don CGY 13.85
Timmis, Mercer HAM 13.65
Harris, Andrew WPG 13.45
Williams, Terry CGY 11.35
Lafrance, Kienan WPG 11.30
Rainey, Chris BC 10.10
Sutton, Tyrell MTL 8.85
Wilder Jr, James TOR 8.70
Jackson, Martese TOR 7.95
Robinson, Jordan EDM 7.35
Logan, Stefan MTL 6.43
Johnson, Jeremiah BC 5.60
Messam, Jerome SSK 5.50
Gable, CJ EDM 4.65
Cross, Declan TOR 4.10
Mason, Tre SSK 2.85
Moore, Spencer SSK 2.40
Beaulieu, Jean-Cristophe OTT 1.80
Whitlock, Nikita HAM 1.50
McCarty, Calvin EDM 1.10
Stone, Ryder MTL 1.05
Lavoie, Patrick MTL 0.65
Gingras-Gagnon, Simon TOR 0.30
Langlais, William CGY 0.25

WR by Average Fantasy Points:

Name Team FPTS
Walker, Derel EDM 17.40
Spencer, Diontae OTT 15.90
Tasker, Luke HAM 14.70
Rogers, Eric CGY 13.20
Wolitarsky, Drew WPG 12.30
Williams, Duke EDM 11.95
Ellingson, Greg OTT 10.40
Adams, Darvin WPG 10.37
Banks, Brandon HAM 9.80
Smith, Jamill EDM 9.30
Jorden, Kamar CGY 8.80
Dressler, Weston WPG 8.55
Jones, Christion SSK 8.05
Daniels, DaVaris CGY 7.80
Toliver, Terrence HAM 7.60
Saunders, Jalen HAM 7.55
Sinopoli, Brad OTT 7.40
Watson, Cory BC 7.10
Demski, Nic WPG 6.95
Cunningham, B.J. MTL 6.30
Stafford, Kenny EDM 6.20
Lewis, Eugene MTL 6.00
Jones, Mike HAM 6.00
Williams, Chris MTL 6.00
Holley, Caleb SSK 5.90
Begelton, Reginald CGY 5.83
Roosevelt, Naaman SSK 5.80
Williams-Lambert, Jordan SSK 5.75
Jackson, Ernest MTL 4.80
Brescacin, Juwan CGY 4.35

Week 3: Wide Receiver Stats

WR by Receiving Yards, with Targets and Receptions:

Name Team Yds3 Targets Rec
Walker, Derel EDM 232 18 14
Williams, Duke EDM 179 18 8
Tasker, Luke HAM 174 13 11
Saunders, Jalen HAM 151 15 10
Rogers, Eric CGY 144 9 6
Banks, Brandon HAM 136 16 10
Stafford, Kenny EDM 124 12 6
Williams, Chris MTL 120 17 11
Jones, Mike HAM 120 8 5
Holley, Caleb SSK 118 9 5
Jorden, Kamar CGY 116 14 9
Begelton, Reginald CGY 106 7 6
Ellingson, Greg OTT 104 8 8
Dressler, Weston WPG 98 11 6
Adams, Darvin WPG 97 8 5
Daniels, DaVaris CGY 96 11 6
Jackson, Ernest MTL 96 8 6
Brescacin, Juwan CGY 87 5 4
Spencer, Diontae OTT 82 9 6
Toliver, Terrence HAM 76 6 4
Sinopoli, Brad OTT 74 6 6
Green, S.J. TOR 71 18 7
Edwards, Armanti TOR 68 10 7
Michel, Marken CGY 67 7 5
Cunningham, B.J. MTL 66 11 7
Wolitarsky, Drew WPG 66 6 5
Simonise, Rashaun WPG 64 2 2
Stanford, Joshua SSK 62 5 4
Lewis, Eugene MTL 57 7 6
Roosevelt, Naaman SSK 56 12 6
Evans, Shaquelle SSK 56 6 4
Tyms, Brian TOR 55 12 7
Williams-Lambert, Jordan SSK 55 6 4
Demski, Nic WPG 54 12 7

WR by Receiving Touchdowns:

Name Team TD3
Wolitarsky, Drew WPG 3
Walker, Derel EDM 2
Tasker, Luke HAM 2
Rogers, Eric CGY 2
Williams, Duke EDM 1
Banks, Brandon HAM 1
Jorden, Kamar CGY 1
Dressler, Weston WPG 1
Adams, Darvin WPG 1
Daniels, DaVaris CGY 1
Spencer, Diontae OTT 1
Cunningham, B.J. MTL 1
Lewis, Eugene MTL 1
Roosevelt, Naaman SSK 1
Williams-Lambert, Jordan SSK 1
Demski, Nic WPG 1
Watson, Cory BC 1

Week 3: Running Back Stats

RB by Carries, with Rushing Yards:

Name Team Car Yds2
Harris, Andrew WPG 29 135
Messam, Jerome SSK 28 100
Timmis, Mercer HAM 23 153
Jackson, Don CGY 21 210
Williams, Terry CGY 19 103
Sutton, Tyrell MTL 19 118
Powell, William OTT 19 94
Gable, CJ EDM 18 76
Wilder Jr, James TOR 15 76
Mason, Tre SSK 12 70
Johnson, Jeremiah BC 10 52
Lafrance, Kienan WPG 10 50

RB By Rushing Touchdowns:

Name Team TD2
Timmis, Mercer HAM 2
Jackson, Don CGY 1
Powell, William OTT 1
Lafrance, Kienan WPG 1

RB by Receptions, with Targets and Receiving Yards:

Name Team Rec Targets Yds3
Harris, Andrew WPG 9 11 74
Sutton, Tyrell MTL 8 12 59
Gable, CJ EDM 8 9 17
Wilder Jr, James TOR 8 10 98
Cross, Declan TOR 6 6 22
Moore, Spencer SSK 4 5 42
Whitlock, Nikita HAM 3 3 10
Logan, Stefan MTL 3 4 -1
Lavoie, Patrick MTL 3 4 13
Powell, William OTT 2 2 24
Messam, Jerome SSK 2 3 10
Johnson, Jeremiah BC 2 2 4
Rainey, Chris BC 2 3 18
McCarty, Calvin EDM 2 2 11
Beaulieu, Jean-Cristophe OTT 2 3 18

RB by Receiving Touchdowns:

Name Team TD3
Harris, Andrew WPG 1
Cross, Declan TOR 1
Powell, William OTT 1

Week 3: Quarterback Stats

QB by Passing Yards, with Completions and Attempts:

Name Team Comp Att Yds
Reilly, Mike EDM 52 76 694
Masoli, Jeremiah HAM 44 65 676
Mitchell, Bo Levi CGY 37 58 621
Streveler, Chris WPG 37 56 424
Willy, Drew MTL 41 61 392
Harris, Trevor OTT 26 36 345
Collaros, Zach SSK 22 35 309
Ray, Ricky TOR 34 54 307
Jennings, Jonathon BC 20 24 183
Bridge, Brandon SSK 13 22 145
Bennett, Bryan WPG 3 4 71
Franklin, James TOR 9 14 67
Mathews, Jeff MTL 3 5 18

QB by Passing Touchdowns:

Name Team TD
Streveler, Chris WPG 6
Mitchell, Bo Levi CGY 4
Reilly, Mike EDM 3
Masoli, Jeremiah HAM 3
Willy, Drew MTL 2
Harris, Trevor OTT 2
Collaros, Zach SSK 2
Jennings, Jonathon BC 2
Franklin, James TOR 1

QB by Rushing Touchdowns:

Name Team TD2
Reilly, Mike EDM 3
Franklin, James TOR 2
Streveler, Chris WPG 1
Masoli, Jeremiah HAM 1

2018 Week 3

Welcome to Week 3!

Week 2 gave us some crazy blowouts, unpredictable games and most importantly, another week of data!

We kick off Week 3 as usual on Thursday Night when the RedBlacks visit the Stampeders.

Our double-header Friday will get started with the Bluebombers in Hamilton, followed by the rested BC Lions travelling to Edmonton.

And the week wraps up on Saturday with Montreal in Saskatchewan.

Good luck this week, everyone!