Despite last week only having three games, a lot went down. Plenty to consider for your Fantasy lineups! Let’s take a look.
Sask Roughriders @ Hamilton Ti-Cats
Both the Roughriders and Ti-Cats were not active last week. Both teams should be rested and ready to go.
Despite the media’s pressure, there seems to be no reason to believe Brandon Bridge and David Watord won’t split reps again this week. This makes them tough starts for Fantasy. What else makes them tough starts is that neither have cracked double-digit Fantasy Points this season. Avoid.
And the backfield. Thigpen gave us 95 combined yards and a score in his last outing. I still advise caution, as he only had 5 carries in the game, to Messam’s 4 and Mason’s 3. Too much committee for my liking. If you don’t get the TD, your Fantasy day is ruined. Hamilton is actually decent against backfields, surrendering the 2nd fewest FPTS in the league.
At the WR position, Roosevelt has alternated weeks being hot and cold. If the trend continues this should be a hot week, but I’m still overly cautious. No one else shows up on the radar. Can we please get Duron Carter back on offense???
Over to Hamilton, Masoli consumes the highest salary this week with Mike Reilly on the Bye. The Sask defense against QBs is decent, 3rd best in the league. He was only able to muster 15 FPTS in his last game against Saskatchewan.
I wish I could make sense of Hamilton’s backfield situation. Those chasing the Fantasy points last week with Timmis were disappointed by a 3 point performance, despite getting the majority of the carries, 7. Whitlock carried 3 times and we saw John White on the field for 2 carries. Thomas-Erlington, who broke out Week 3 was absent. Alex Jones is over due to return. Too many mouths to feed. John White is listed at the top of the Depth Chart this week. I would like to wait and see what the usage ends up being.
Speedy B is getting it done, and it’s not even on special teams. Averaging over 10 targets per game, hauling in an average of 7 per and over 100 yards in all of his last 3 games. Luke Tasker slightly behind, averaging 15 FPTS per game. Saunders has been heavily targeted in his last two games and producing double-digits. And finally Toliver averaging 14 FPTS in his last 3 games. All these guys look like viable starts. Sask is currently 4th best against Receivers.
BC Lions @ Ottawa RedBlacks
Travis Lulay started week 5 against the Bombers and let the Lions to a come-from-behind victory in true CFL fashion. 326 passing yards, a TD and a pick giving 15 FPTS. Very decent considering his salary. He may be a decent value play this week as well, however consider Ottawa is currently 2nd best against QBs.
It wasn’t the performance everyone expected out of JJohnson in the rematch. Rather, it was Chris Rainey who lit it up with 114 rushing and receiving yards, and another 132 in special teams. This was his second game in a row over 20 FPTS. Ottawa is a middle-of-the-road team against Running Backs. The news from BC is that JJohnson is nursing an ankle injury. *EDIT Brandon Rutley is activated and will start in the backfield. Rainey will resume his role of backup and special teams.
With a competent slinger at the helm, we finally saw our first double-digit FPTS out of BC receivers. Burnham gave us 10, Arceneaux with 13 and Shaq Johnson with 15. I feel a lot better about Burnham and Arceneaux picks with Lulay running the show. I think they’ll be able to take advantage of an Ottawa secondary in the bottom half of the league against WRs.
It’s time for Trevor Harris to bounce back again. Two miserable outings against Calgary, but great games against Sask and Montreal. I expect a decent day for Trevor, against a BC Defense giving up over 18 FPTS on average to QBs, 4th worst in the league.
And Powell should have himself a better day than last week as well. Last week being his only single-digit performance of the year. If we disclude the Calgary game, he is averaging 118 yards on the ground, per game. BC is absolutely miserable against backfields, giving up THE MOST FPTS in the league to backs, over 28 FPTS per game! Powell is your lock of the week.
And a mediocre BC secondary will face the trio of Ellingson, Sinopoli and Spencer. All single-digit performers against that touch CGY D last week but watch for them to bounce back in a huge way.
Winnipeg BlueBombers @ Toronto Argos
I like the Matt Nichols start against the 2nd worst Argo’s defense against QBs. Although, I liked the Nichols start last week as well and look how that turned out. Matt hasn’t given us more than 11 FPTS since his return. He loses out on the rushing yards and scores but he’s sure to start throwing dimes and break out any week now.
I should pretty much just copy-paste what I’ve been saying about Andrew Harris every week. I don’t even need to look at the data, I don’t care about the matchup. Start him.
And when Matt Nichols does break out, you’re going to want some Darvin Adams and Weston Dressler in your lineup. This week they’ll face a Toronto Defense giving up over 56 FPTS to wide outs, 2nd worst.
I’m torn over James Franklin. There are positives, such as his rushing ability and that he plunges in the goal-line TDs himself. The downsides? He seems to have a 20 point ceiling so far, and almost consistently scores a mere 10 FPTS every week. Perhaps it’s enough if his salary stays low. In a commissioner-based league, I’m looking to the waivers for something else.
In Toronto’s backfield, James Wilder Jr has now had two back-to-back 23+ FPTS days. His lowest game of the year was still a 12 point outing. Winnipeg is not great against backfields. They’ve given up 27+ FPTS to backfields on three occasions already this season.
Over the last three games, Winnipeg has been pretty stingy against Wide Receivers. That being said, SJ Green finally seems to have gotten things going, breaking out with 23 FPTS last week. I’d have to recommend a SIT on Armanti Edwards until I see more usage from him – only 10 targets in his last three games combined! Not enough opportunity.
Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders
Hi Everyone, Captain Obvious here to tell you not to start a Montreal QB against this unreal, scary, insane Calgary Defense. Instead of talking about how bad Montreal QBs are, let’s talk about how good that Calgary D is. Here is their opponent QB FPTS for the entire season:
Week 1: 17
Week 2: 13
Week 3: 9
Week 4: -1.
That’s an average of allowing 9.5 FPTS to QBs per game. The second best team allows 15.
So, can you start Tyrell Sutton? He’s pretty much been the only Alouette you can count on in Fantasy. But again, that Calgary D. Tops in the league against RBs, only allowing 13 FPTS per game on average.
Ernest Jackson? Nope. Completely held off the board against Ottawa, and only averaging 2 receptions per game. BJ Cunningham? eehh…. only if you like a 12 point ceiling. Though he has an almost 8 point floor. How about Chris Williams? He’s got double-digit days twice this season… Hey, don’t forget about that Calgary D – once again first in the league in this category, against receivers.
Some big news this week regarding the Calgary pivot. Bo Levi was caught on the thigh by a late hit last week. The knee ain’t suppose to bend that way! *edit It looks like Bo will start!
From now on I’m calling Don Jackson, Mr Consistent.
Week 1: 14 FPTS
Week 2: 14 FPTS
Week 3: 14 FPTS
Week 4: 15 FPTS
I can get behind those numbers! However, be advised that even with Terry Williams not in the game, Don Jackson still surrendered the red zone plays to rookie Romar Morris. I don’t like that one bit! Still, DJ is proving to be a viable play every week.
And finally we’ve got the super talented core of Calgary receivers going against the worst D in the league. Montreal gives up over 56 FPTS per game to Wide Outs. If Rogers is healthy, you’re starting him. Kamar Jorden has been heavily targeted, followed by Davaris Daniels and both are averaging double-digits. Marken Michel should return soon. Look for regressions with a backup QB at the helm.