Week 14: Beta Fantasy Projections

Hello Football Fans!

Given the limited schedule this week with only 6 teams in action I thought it might be a good opportunity to try out the new projections model I’ve been working on for next season.

Please let me know what you think!

Quarterback Projections:

Name Comp Att Yds TD Int Car Yds2 TD2 FUM FPTS
Masoli, Jeremiah 23.71 35.42 340.45 1.52 1.05 4.86 36.84 0.19 0.48 21.49
Mitchell, Bo Levi 20.74 33.36 313.94 2.34 0.75 0.75 4.39 0.00 0.19 20.47
Lulay, Travis 29.25 47.56 379.62 1.68 0.84 1.05 6.31 0.00 0.42 20.02
Pipkin, Antonio 16.17 25.16 228.22 0.30 1.20 5.69 38.94 1.20 0.00 19.01
Harris, Trevor 29.59 44.17 340.37 1.16 0.95 2.22 9.19 0.00 0.21 16.86
Collaros, Zach 22.07 35.05 274.10 0.93 0.93 1.85 6.12 0.00 0.19 13.06
Fajardo, Cody 0.88 1.03 11.91 0.00 0.15 3.68 7.79 0.44 0.00 3.61
Arbuckle, Nick 1.46 2.24 13.85 0.10 0.00 2.15 4.39 0.29 0.10 2.94

Running Back Projections:

Name Car Yds2 TD2 Targets Rec Yds3 TD3 FUM PR KR FGR TD4 FPTS
Green, Alex 15.79 81.07 1.36 2.53 2.14 20.85 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.30
Johnson, Jeremiah 11.71 64.31 0.74 3.70 3.70 30.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.56 0.00 0.00 18.20
Powell, William 14.98 75.91 0.36 3.59 2.78 25.21 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.59
Rainey, Chris 3.51 16.02 0.00 2.57 1.87 19.41 0.00 0.12 53.20 90.74 0.00 0.12 13.08
Jackson, Don 13.60 87.23 0.29 3.04 1.59 10.13 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.77
Sutton, Tyrell 10.01 48.52 0.12 4.54 3.49 35.95 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.40
Mason, Tre 13.73 76.04 0.00 3.10 2.51 12.99 0.00 0.30 0.00 8.56 0.00 0.00 11.25
Thigpen, Marcus 4.64 34.67 0.37 2.69 1.83 19.78 0.12 0.12 4.64 11.84 0.00 0.00 10.79
Williams, Terry 3.45 16.12 0.00 0.30 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.30 50.90 43.40 5.27 0.20 7.31
Logan, Stefan 0.21 2.51 0.00 1.26 1.05 0.42 0.00 0.00 49.21 55.92 0.00 0.00 6.60
Timmis, Mercer 4.87 23.75 0.49 0.37 0.12 1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.02 0.00 0.00 5.77
Thomas Erlington, Sean 2.14 14.32 0.00 0.29 0.19 1.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.03 0.00 0.00 3.47

Wide Receiver Projections:

Name Car Yds2 TD2 Targets Rec Yds3 TD3 FUM PR KR FGR TD4 FPTS
Banks, Brandon 0.20 0.50 0.00 9.94 6.86 102.66 0.70 0.20 18.49 1.79 2.29 0.00 22.08
Tasker, Luke 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 6.56 100.58 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.72
Burnham, Bryan 0.18 2.70 0.00 10.63 6.49 94.77 0.72 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.20
Daniels, DaVaris 0.24 -1.09 0.00 9.85 5.96 91.22 0.85 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.84
Sinopoli, Brad 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.58 7.09 85.63 0.38 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.57
Collins, Ricky 0.17 1.72 0.00 10.52 6.72 68.96 0.34 0.00 5.00 3.62 0.00 0.00 16.29
Spencer, Diontae 0.19 -0.96 0.00 7.85 4.88 49.23 0.19 0.10 55.94 38.60 4.02 0.10 16.17
Cunningham, B.J. 0.38 2.31 0.00 9.74 6.03 75.40 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.10
Michel, Marken 0.19 0.00 0.00 8.41 4.40 66.13 0.57 0.00 6.31 6.12 0.00 0.00 15.07
Williams-Lambert, Jordan 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.71 6.09 73.30 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.04
Ellingson, Greg 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.27 6.53 78.81 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.83
Begelton, Reginald 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.03 5.35 90.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.62 0.00 0.00 14.68
Elliott, Kevin 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.46 4.91 61.67 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Out
Roosevelt, Naaman 0.12 -0.12 0.00 8.73 4.92 51.39 0.37 0.00 0.00 4.92 0.00 0.00 12.50
Lewis, Eugene 0.30 1.06 0.15 6.05 3.63 60.01 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.55
Moore, Kyran 1.10 3.31 0.00 5.14 2.57 43.73 0.00 0.00 26.83 10.29 0.00 0.37 11.34
Rhymes, Dominique 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.63 4.22 51.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.17
Jackson, Ernest 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.68 4.23 58.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.08
Harris, RJ 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.19 3.61 49.32 0.14 0.00 0.72 9.37 0.00 0.00 9.91
Brescacin, Juwan 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.18 2.68 42.81 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.96
Johnson, Shaquille 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.40 3.88 39.18 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.96
Evans, Shaquelle 0.24 0.12 0.00 6.61 3.37 46.65 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.10
Bowman, Adarius 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 4.14 39.79 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.76
Toliver, Terrence 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.32 2.85 42.16 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.69
Thomas, Noel 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.52 2.41 31.02 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.32
Durant, Lemar 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.91 2.51 34.77 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.83
Lawrence, Rashad 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.37 2.92 20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.81 0.00 0.00 6.80
Watson, Cory 0.17 -1.38 0.00 3.97 2.41 26.21 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.93
Jones, Mike 0.08 0.84 0.00 3.46 2.11 31.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.35
Johnson, George 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.44 1.36 20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.40
Stanford, Joshua 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.31 1.65 16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33
Bailey, Devon 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.76 1.32 17.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.00 3.05
Feoli-Gudino, Julian 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.90 15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.47

5 Replies to “Week 14: Beta Fantasy Projections”

    1. Here is what the beta model is spitting out for Stanback:

      LName FName Pos Team Car Yds2 TD2 Targets Rec Yds3 TD3 FUM PR KR FGR TD4 FPTS
      Stanback, William RB MTL 3.35 22.83 0.00 1.26 1.26 14.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.17 0.00 0.00 9.80

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