Week 18: Matchup Analysis

Hello Everyone!  Well it’s been a crazy few weeks and things are showing no signs of slowing down. Which is good. I think.  So it’s been a while, let’s try to crank something out here…

Hamilton Tiger Cats @ Toronto Argonauts

Fresh of the bye, Masoli is a great option against this struggling Toronto team. Averaging almost 20 FPTS per game, he looks attractive given how many QB stinkers we got last week.  Toronto gives up more FPTS to QBs than any team in the league.

If Green isn’t back, I like John White, who gave us 16 and 15 FPTS on 21 and 18 touches, respectively, in his two starts.

Brandon Banks has six touchdowns in his last three games. Start him. Tasker has a string of three 12 FPTS games in a row, and over 22 FPTS in the three games previous to that. Start him too, against the 2nd worst team in the league against WRs.

It looks like James Franklin will get back under centre for the Argos. I like the play, especially considering he’s one of only a couple QBs who do their own goal-line work. Hamilton is simply mediocre against QBs.

Wilder is likely to sit out again this week.  In his absence we saw Burks get the start and go for a respectable 13 FPTS on 11 touches and just over 100 combined yards.  Dexter McCluster got more backfield touches, but wasn’t as effective with those opportunities. *EDIT McCluster will be out, Burks becomes your value start of the week as he is the only RB listed on the depth chart.

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Winnipeg Bluebombers

Collaros was a fantasy relevant QB for three of his 11 games this season. Find your QB start elsewhere.

Tre Mason appears to be getting the majority of the backfield work.  But only one TD on the season because Chris Jones is a goof who puts a DB in for short yardage.

Roosevelt being out really hasn’t done much to help out Williams Lambert.  But newcomer Kenny Shaw is generating some interest, with 7 and 9 targets in his two games, putting up 12 FPTS in both. Shaq Evans has gotten some opportunity as well, 17 and 13 FPTS in his last two.

You’re not playing Matt Nichols against Sask.  They’ve played twice this year, and Matty has put up a COMBINED TOTAL of 8.84 FPTS in those two games.  Yikes.

Andrew Harris? Mixed bag against Sask. 18 FPTS in one game, then only 4 FPTS in the next. He’s got a string of 19 FPTS games back-to-back as the team definitely relies on him heavily.

Dressler and Adams are very up and down producers.  Thompkins and Wolitarsky are not getting enough targets. I’m finding my WR starts elsewhere.

Ottawa @ Edmonton

Harris seems to be getting hot at the right time. He hasn’t given us a single-digit stinker since week 13.  Since then he’s averaging 21 FPTS per game. I like this start against a crumbling Edmonton team.

Powell has to be your start of the week. Edmonton is right garbage against the run and Powell is the league leader.  Seems too good to be true!

Sinopoli’s numbers look solid going all the way back to Week 10.  Ellingson is a bit more hit and miss.  Spencer has a decent floor, adding the special teams yardage.  My safe play here is still likely Sinopoli.

Yikes, what’s happened to this Edmonton team?

Mike Reilly’s salary has dropped from the TSN 14K ceiling on the back of two single-digit FPTS performances. He’s thrown five picks and no TDs in those two games.

I’ve been fading CJ Gable ever since week 12.  In his last three games he’s given us 6, 6, and 5 FPTS.

When Reilly struggles, everyone else does too. Not the typical production we are used to seeing from Duke, but the targets and therefore opportunity, will still be there.

BC @ Calgary

Lulay is back at the helm. But against Calgary I don’t recommend a start.

Sutton should be starting this week.  We’ll have to wait and see what kind of usage split happens between Tyrell and JJohnson.  Again, Calgary defense, avoid.

Watson, Collins and Burnham are very much up and down plays. Posey and Parker are the most consistent, but consistently single digits.  Calgary Defense. Move along.

Bo gave us a whopping 3 FPTS last week, but previous to that is averaging 23 FPTS per game going back to Week 10.

Don Jackson is healthy and re-took the backfield reigns from Romar Morris, who seemed to be the more explosive option. But Terry Williams got the nod over Morris. Jackson seems to have a 15 point ceiling any week.  Williams isn’t getting the backfield touches but is putting in time on special teams.

Eric Rogers was back for the first time since Week 7.  With Jorden, Begelton and Daniels out, Marken Michel, Rogers and Brescacin seem to be your productive options. *EDIT Marken Michel lands on the long term IR. Yikes. Go Rogers and Brescacin but watch Rogers status – he’s having a baby!

 

 

2 Replies to “Week 18: Matchup Analysis”

  1. Thanks for making time to put together your analysis!! We’ve missed your commentary(s)! We know it’s been a busy couple weeks for you ….. so it’s great to enjoy your wit/focus comments on selected players and teams! We would agree there’s been some odd games and some real surprises for a few too! Let’s hope this week is a lot more productive and frankly a little more exciting with some (very) high-scoring games – he he …….Thanks again – cheers!

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