Week 6: Matchup Analysis

Welcome to Week 6, Football Fans!

I’m on vacation with Family this week, so my contributions to the site may be a bit sparse.  I wrote this before Week 5 even concluded, so take it for what you will!

Let’s take a look at what the numbers say for Week 6 matchups.

We kick it off on Thursday night with the Montreal Alouettes visiting the Winnipeg BlueBombers.

At the QB position, offensively Montreal does not inspire confidence, though Durant has steadily improved his numbers 3 games straight now.  Defensively, Winnipeg is weak, giving up the 3rd most FPTS to the position. Doesn’t sound like a matchup I’d get behind. On the other side of the ball Nichols seems attractive given his Salary – it’s going to be hard to get BLM or Reilly in your lineup this week. Nichols may be a safe alternative – though he is widely inconsistent.

At the RB position, Winnipeg gives up the MOST in the league to opposing backs. If Sutton is a go, he’s a must start. He averages almost 13 carries per game plus four targets, and has scored over 16 FPTS his last two outings. Montreal is solid against the run, so temper expectations with Harris this week, who only has two TDs in his four game so far this year.

Through the air I have a hard time recommending receivers from either team.  Dressler had a huge start, but has been inconsistent since. Ernest Jackson and BJ Cunningham are the only Alouette recievers with double-digit FPTS in two games or more. Montreal scores the 2nd fewest at the position, Winnipeg the 4th fewest. Side with Montreal’s receiving core if you have to, as Winnipeg is the 2nd worst team against WR’s in the league.

On Friday, the Edmonton Eskimos will host the BC Lions.

Travis Lulay now has two 400+ yard games in a row.  Will he make it three in a row against an Edmonton Defense that only gives up an average of 13.8 FPTS to QB’s?  That’s best in the league. I’m staying away. If Jennings returns, I’m definitely staying away.

As predicted, Manny Arceneaux broke out last week against WPG, but Edmonton is the best in the league against the WR position.  They are not, however, as good against the run. I’m starting BC’s backfield with confidence.  Johnson has a TD in every game he’s played this year, and averages over 18 FPTS per game. He’s this week’s START OF THE WEEK.  I’ll even give him a 12 point floor.

If Travon Van remains ~ $7000 value on DraftKings, I’m going with him as well against a middle-of-the-road BC run D. His lowest performance as a starter thus far has been 11.70 FPTS.

Watch for Vidal Hazelton to further emerge with Adarius Bowman now on the 6 game IR. Zylstra maintains the most consistent receiver for EDM thus far.

Then we are off to Mosaic on Saturday when the Toronto Argos visit the Sask Roughriders.

With Kevin Glenn’s disappointing performance in Calgary last week, SSK has dropped from the best in the league at the QB position, all the way to the 5th spot.  Toronto is 2nd best against QB’s so I’m sitting Glenn.

I’m also sitting Toronto’s backfield, 3rd worst in the league against a SSK defense only giving up 10.80 FPTS per game to Backs. But watch Coombs, he seems to be the hot hand at the moment.

I’m also watching SJ Green, getting over 10 targets per game, and a now healthy Jeff Fuller through the air and limiting expectations of SSK receivers – EDIT Toronto really put the brakes on Ottawa’s offense at the end of Week 5, maybe they’ll do it again to SSK.

The week will wrap up on Saturday with the Calgary Stampeders hosting the lowly Hamilton Ti-Cats.

Hamilton is worst in the league at the QB position.  Worst in the league at the RB position. Worst in the league at the WR position.

Defensively, they are the worst in the league against the QB position. Worst in the league against the WR position.

I guess what I’m trying to say is they are the worst in every category except against the RB position, where they sit 5th best.

So start all your Stamps. ALL OF THEM. Kamar Jorden stands out as the ONLY receiver in the league to score double-digit fantasy points in four or more games(4 of 5) – EDIT now Ellingson joins that list(4 of 6).

Good luck this week, everyone!

One Reply to “Week 6: Matchup Analysis”

  1. This is the most informative write -up on CFL I have ever read. Please, please keep it up. Because of your info I scored way more points than anybody in my league last week and I am now way out in first place.

    I hope you have a great vacation, but please don’t be gone too long.

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